Yes—but it should publish the exercise as sensitivity analysis, not as a measured market estimate. The missing variable is not visitor volume; it is the proportion of eligible visits that produce an in-scope purchase, together with spending per purchase and remote demand.

The following illustration uses the government’s rounded 2025 US-market arrival base of 849,000. It deliberately does not annualize partial-year 2026 arrivals. (en.baochinhphu.vn)

Illustrative travel-channel spending = arrival events × assumed in-scope purchase incidence × assumed suit spending per purchasing event.

Sensitivity test—not a forecast Assumed purchase incidence Implied purchasing events Assumed suit spending per event Implied garment spending
A 0.1% 849 US$1,500 US$1.27 million
B 0.5% 4,245 US$1,500 US$6.37 million
C 1.0% 8,490 US$1,500 US$12.74 million

Source and calculation date: desk calculations, October 19, 2026. The arrival base is sourced; all purchase-incidence and spending assumptions are analyst-selected and unvalidated. No row is designated a central estimate, and the endpoints are not a confidence interval. (en.baochinhphu.vn)

Important limitations:

  • The arrival category is not a verified count of US-resident executives.
  • Purchasing events are not unique annual customers; repeat visits require deduplication.
  • Spending per event could include more than one suit, so the table does not estimate suit units.
  • The illustration excludes independently originated remote orders and does not measure the genuinely bespoke share.
  • A suit commissioned during a visit and shipped afterward must not be counted again as a separate remote sale.
  • Garment spending is separate from shipping, import charges, alterations, travel and research fees.

Research decision: do not adopt the supplied brief’s market-size or growth ranges as established findings. A usable estimate needs supplier order records, verified customer geography and a consistent production-process definition.